Missouri COVID update: 7-day rolling average over 1,400 cases for 10 straight days

Coronavirus

JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. – Missouri’s 7-day rolling average for new COVID cases has been higher than 1,400 for 10 consecutive days, the longest recorded streak for the state.

According to the Missouri Department of Health and Senior Services, the state has recorded 118,311 cases of SARS-CoV-2—an increase of 1,365 positive cases from the day before—and 1,952 total deaths as of Thursday, September 24. That’s a case-fatality rate of 1.65 percent.

Please keep in mind that not all cases and deaths recorded since yesterday occurred in the last 24 hours.

For comparative purposes, Missouri’s COVID case-fatality rate was 1.81 percent on August 312.52 percent on July 30, and 4.71 percent at the end of June. In mid-May, the case-fatality rate was 5.5 percent. When COVID-19 was beginning to spread across the state in late March, the case-fatality rate was 1.33 percent.

The 7-day rolling average for cases in Missouri sits at 1,425. Yesterday, the average was at 1,480 cases. Exactly one month ago, the rolling average was 1,046.

The state’s 7-day rolling average has been above 1,400 since September 15. The last time Missouri’s 7-day rolling average was that high was from July 28 to August 3.

Approximately 50.6 percent of all reported cases are for individuals 39 years of age and younger. The 20 to 24 age group has 14,808 recorded cases, the highest of all age groups. The 0 to 9 age group has 2,988 reported cases and the 10 to 19 group has 13,400 cases.

The average age of a Missouri COVID-19 patient is 42. The rolling average over the last 7 days is 42 years of age.

Approximately 49.6 percent of all recorded deaths in the state are for patients 80 years of age and older.

Missouri has administered 1,259,531 PCR tests for COVID-19 and 91 percent of those individuals have tested negative. The number of people tested in the last 24 hours is not immediately known.

According to the state health department’s COVID-19 Dashboard, “A PCR test looks for the viral RNA in the nose, throat, or other areas in the respiratory tract to determine if there is an active infection with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. A positive PCR test means that the person has an active COVID-19 infection.”

Additionally, positive cases are up 6.3 percent (per 100,000 people) over the last 7 days.

The state is reporting 1,056 hospitalizations for COVID-19 as of September 21. This number is subject to a 72-hour delay to ensure that the data are accurate and complete.

If you have additional questions about the coronavirus, the Missouri Department of Health and Senior Services is available at 877-435-8411 (24 hours a day). Beginning October 1, calls will be accepted from 7 a.m. to 9 p.m. seven days a week. DHSS says they receive 93 percent of calls during this timeframe. 

As of September 24, the CDC has identified 6,916,292 cases of COVID-19 and 201,411 deaths across all 50 states and 6 U.S.-affiliated jurisdictions, for a national case-fatality rate of 2.91 percent.

But how do COVID deaths compare to other illnesses, like the flu or even the H1N1 pandemics of 1918 and 2009? It’s a common question.

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), preliminary data on the 2018-2019 influenza season in the United States shows an estimated 35,520,883 cases and 34,157 deaths; that would mean a case-fatality rate of 0.09 percent. Case-fatality rates on previous seasons are as follows: 0.136 percent (2017-2018), 0.131 percent (2016-2017), 0.096 percent (2015-2016), and 0.17 percent (2014-2015).

The 1918 H1N1 epidemic, commonly referred to as the “Spanish Flu,” is estimated to have infected 29.4 million Americans and claimed 675,000 lives as a result; a case-fatality rate of 2.3 percent. The Spanish Flu claimed greater numbers of young people than typically expected from other influenzas.

Beginning in January 2009, another H1N1 virus—known as the “swine flu”—spread around the globe and was first detected in the US in April of that year. The CDC identified an estimated 60.8 million cases and 12,469 deaths; a 0.021 percent case-fatality rate.

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